Rama Krishna Sangem
India is racing against time to clinch an early trade deal with the US. This is to escape the higher tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. His higher tariffs relaxation ends by July 8. It is too early to come to a deal by then, but India is doing its maximum to arrive at some sort of pact even if it is a mini deal with the US.
At any cost, India wants to avoid higher tariffs which may kill may sectors of Indian industry and commerce – for example shrimp, gems and jewelry and textile exports, which feed millions of families in the country. As of now, Indian businesses are badly impacted, but the fear of upcoming tariffs are affecting Indian stocks and economic sentiment. Narendra Modi government is under pressure to avoid disastrous situation after July 8.
In-person negotiations between India and the US kickstarted on April 23 Wednesday and India is keen on signing an early deal by July second week. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he expected India to strike the first bilateral trade deal to avert President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.
According to the New York Post, Bessent told a roundtable of about a dozen reporters on Wednesday that trade talks with India are “very close” to reaching a successful conclusion because the world’s most populous nation doesn’t have “so many high tariffs”. “India also has fewer non-tariff trade barriers, obviously, no currency manipulation, very, very little government subsidies, so that reaching a deal with the Indians is much easier,” Bessent said at the Washington DC event on the sidelines of the annual World Bank and International Monetary Fund meetings.
President Trump told reporters at the White House during the signing of executive orders that India is going to reduce its high tariffs as part of the bilateral trade agreement (BTA) under negotiation.
“India charges almost more than any other country in the world. Believe it or not, we do very little business with India because their tariffs are very high. They have amongst the highest tariffs (in the world), higher than China. I understand they are going to reduce those tariffs. It’s really sort of their problem not ours,” he said.
Repeats Harley Davidson episode
Citing the example of Harley Davidson, Trump said the US does “very little” exports to India. He said about six years ago, when he asked Harley Davidson officials, they told him that they don’t do any business in India because of high tariffs and are going to set up a plant in India. “And that’s what they did. I don’t want that to happen. They were forced to build a plant. (If) there were no tariffs, they would build their plant here,” Trump told reporters.
Rajesh Agrawal, Indian negotiator
A team of Indian commerce department officials, led by Chief Negotiator and Commerce Secretary-designate Rajesh Agrawal, is currently in Washington DC for negotiating a trade deal with the US. While both sides have resolved to conclude the first tranche of the BTA by fall of this year, Indian officials have spoken about concluding an “early tranche” by July 8 when the current pause on country-specific reciprocal tariffs will expire.
“These ongoing talks will help achieve balance and reciprocity by opening new markets for American goods and addressing unfair practices that harm American workers. India’s constructive engagement so far has been welcomed and I look forward to creating new opportunities for workers, farmers, and entrepreneurs in both countries,” Greer said in a statement while welcoming the announcement of the finalisation of the terms of reference (TOR) for the BTA by US Vice President JD Vance and Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
During his visit, Vance urged India to remove non-tariff barriers and allow greater market access for American businesses. While welcoming India’s constructive engagement for conclusion of the BTA, United States Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer on last week said that there is a “serious lack of reciprocity” in the trade relationship with New Delhi.
On the whole India is ready to slash most of its trade surplus with the US, a sacrifice for the sake of good relations with the Trump administration and the US markets.